Well here we are at the end of 2011 in what has been a challenging
year in
bond and FICC (fixed income currency & commodities) markets.
It's all pretty tight as most teams have had a tough year –
lots of effort for not as great reward (per other years).
Specific areas or product are still being sought out, but timing and
requirements mean delays in actual hires.
We
are hearing that local banks might do some trimming in financial
markets and global firms staying steady generally as teams on
smaller scale … Asia different story as team ‘right size’.
2. Any trends observed
in the last 12 months?
Capital is available, but liquidity is proving the challenge. A
general tightening in this side has meant revenues are well down in
most FICC businesses.
Rates, Credit and FX have been slower in terms of volume but
Commodities still has activity – clearly driven by the resources
sector … key is access to balance sheet to provide liquidity to
clients.
DCM/Hybrids/Origination whilst significantly less in deal numbers
than previous years has shown some activity, specifically corporate
side.
ECM has been very quiet again as firms are still pretty well
capitalised. Local banks are trying to make a concerted effort in
his area, but general lack of volume has meant not a lot of change
here.
3. Any views on the next 12 months?
Clients will speculatively consider new hires,
but headcount is tight unless there is a special business case or
local/regional/global strategy still to implement.
The entry of ‘covered bonds’ (whilst good as a new product area)
hasn’t translated to hiring in a general sense as most teams are
running from DCM or Securitisation businesses.
As always skills that are in short supply can command a premium –
but it’s still more about the firm/brand, the role/scope and people.
4. Any particular interesting observations
or case studies seen recently?
Globally
there is a clear message that proprietary trading desks and risk are
being wound back – evidence locally is by closures of a global
investment bank and domestic bank of their proprietary trading desks
in the past few months.
Like with Structured Debt and Loan Markets, firms are taking a good
look at their offering to market – and will make some hard decisions
on what is/not core business coming into year end – again its all
about platform !
This is a double-edged sword as some products/team will shrink and
others have potential to grow … so an interesting time and clear
opportunity for some firms.